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Dn Bilan, Song Xuejia, Zhang Jianhua. AN EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL MULII-FCIORIAL METHOD DESIGNED TO PREDICT SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ON THE PREDICTION OF MEAN MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE FOR THE EAST CHINA SEA AND THE ADJACENT WATERS[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 1982, 4(2): 149-156.
Citation:
Dn Bilan, Song Xuejia, Zhang Jianhua. AN EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL MULII-FCIORIAL METHOD DESIGNED TO PREDICT SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ON THE PREDICTION OF MEAN MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE FOR THE EAST CHINA SEA AND THE ADJACENT WATERS[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 1982, 4(2): 149-156.
Dn Bilan, Song Xuejia, Zhang Jianhua. AN EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL MULII-FCIORIAL METHOD DESIGNED TO PREDICT SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ON THE PREDICTION OF MEAN MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE FOR THE EAST CHINA SEA AND THE ADJACENT WATERS[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 1982, 4(2): 149-156.
Citation:
Dn Bilan, Song Xuejia, Zhang Jianhua. AN EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL MULII-FCIORIAL METHOD DESIGNED TO PREDICT SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ON THE PREDICTION OF MEAN MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE FOR THE EAST CHINA SEA AND THE ADJACENT WATERS[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 1982, 4(2): 149-156.
AN EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL MULII-FCIORIAL METHOD DESIGNED TO PREDICT SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ON THE PREDICTION OF MEAN MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE FOR THE EAST CHINA SEA AND THE ADJACENT WATERS
The present paper gives a regressive predicting method which makes empirical orthogonal component of sea surface temperature field to combine with that of influential complex factors feild.This method considers not only the internal relation of sea surface temperature between the stations of water area,but also the interaction between dependent variables(temperature firld)and independent variables(influential factors field),and therefore the superiority of prediction of physical variahles field is presented in this paper.Through forecasting.practice tested for two yeas.(24 months),it has been -proxed that the predicting mQthod of orthogonal complex factors field ha an advantage over other kinds of multi-factokrial predicting method used at present.Its mean absolute prediction error of the whole area is about 0.49℃.
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