Impacts of major volcanic activities on the frequency of Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones from 1900 to 2022

Sun Honggen; Han Yansong; Jiang Wei; Huang Yingxue; Liang Zhenyi; Yu Kefu

doi:10.12284/hyxb2024130

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Sun Honggen，Han Yansong，Jiang Wei, et al. Impacts of major volcanic activities on the frequency of Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones from 1900 to 2022[J]. Haiyang Xuebao，2024, 46(11)：1–12 doi: 10.12284/hyxb2024130

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Impacts of major volcanic activities on the frequency of Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones from 1900 to 2022

doi: 10.12284/hyxb2024130

1.
Guangxi Laboratory on the Study of Coral Reefs in the South China Sea, School of Marine Sciences, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China
2.
Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou), Guangzhou 511458, China

Received Date: 2024-06-19
Rev Recd Date: 2024-11-04

Available Online: 2024-11-22

Abstract

Abstract

The stratospheric sulfate aerosol layer formed after large volcanic eruptions can inhibit the formation and development of tropical cyclones, but relevant studies mainly focus on the Atlantic Ocean, and few involve other sea areas. The Northwest Pacific Ocean is the area where most tropical cyclones are generated. Exploring the climate influencing factors is helpful for us to deeply understand the generation and development mechanism of tropical cyclones. Based on the data of tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific Ocean recorded in the International Optimum Orbit Database and the China Meteorological Administration database, the changes of sea surface temperature and the number of tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific Ocean before and after major volcanic eruptions during 1900—2023 are compared, and the effects of major volcanic eruptions on tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific Ocean are discussed. By comparing the number of tropical cyclones two years before the eruption and two years after the eruption, we found that the number of tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific decreased significantly after a major eruption. The sea surface temperature significantly responds to low-latitude volcanic eruptions, but does not significantly respond to high-latitude volcanic eruptions. Our study shows that the increase of aerosol forcing after large volcanic eruptions is closely related to the frequency of tropical cyclones, but the decrease of sea surface temperature caused by it may not be the direct cause of the decrease of tropical cyclones, and its mechanism may be related to the migration of the intertropical convergence zone caused by aerosol forcing, which still needs further investigation.
- volcanic eruption,
- tropical cyclone,
- Northwest Pacific,
- sea surface temperature,
- low latitude

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