Message Board

Respected readers, authors and reviewers, you can add comments to this page on any questions about the contribution, review, editing and publication of this journal. We will give you an answer as soon as possible. Thank you for your support!

Full name
E-mail
Phone number
Title
Message
Verification Code
Volume 44 Issue 12
Jan.  2023
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
Chen Di,Sun Qizhen. Impact of global tropical sea surface temperature anomalies on the Arctic sea ice variation[J]. Haiyang Xuebao,2022, 44(12):42–54 doi: 10.12284/hyxb2022163
Citation: Chen Di,Sun Qizhen. Impact of global tropical sea surface temperature anomalies on the Arctic sea ice variation[J]. Haiyang Xuebao,2022, 44(12):42–54 doi: 10.12284/hyxb2022163

Impact of global tropical sea surface temperature anomalies on the Arctic sea ice variation

doi: 10.12284/hyxb2022163
  • Received Date: 2022-05-05
  • Rev Recd Date: 2022-06-26
  • Available Online: 2022-09-28
  • Publish Date: 2023-01-17
  • This paper analyzes and discusses the long-term variation characteristics of Arctic sea ice using the latest sea ice and sea surface temperature (SST) data from 1951 to 2021 provided by Hadley Center and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data from the Climate Prediction Center of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The relationship between the rapid decrease of Arctic sea ice and surface sea temperature anomaly (SSTA) in tropical oceans is also investigated, revealing that there is a close relationship between the changes in tropical sea surface temperature field and the Arctic sea ice variation. The results show that the most significant sea ice changes occur in the Greenland Sea, the Kara Sea and the Barents Sea. Notably, the influence of the different tropical ocean areas on the Arctic sea ice shows noticeable temporal and spatial differences. The tropical Atlantic has the earliest impact on Arctic sea ice cover, followed by the Indian and Pacific oceans. Meanwhile, we found that 26-month, 30-month and 34-month lag is the optimal time-lagged correlation time period between Arctic sea ice and SSTA in the tropical Atlantic, the tropical Indian Ocean and Middle-Eastern Pacific, respectively and the mean value among them is a 33-month lag. The most substantial impact of SST on arctic sea ice occurs in the Indian Ocean, followed by the Pacific Ocean and the weakest in the Atlantic Ocean. When the tropical oceans appear positive (negative) SSTA, the arctic sea ice tends to be less (more). Moreover, Arctic Oscillation (AO), the Pacific-North American teleconnection (PNA), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) contribute significantly to the Arctic sea ice change, which are the key processes leading to the abnormal Arctic sea ice change. The AO, PNA and NAO are not only influenced by the SST of the tropical ocean, but also by the Pacific Ocean Decadal Oscillation (PDO) of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Our study aims to provide theoretical support for future research on the mechanism of the rapid decline of Arctic sea ice and global warming.
  • loading
  • [1]
    Serreze M C, Barrett A P, Stroeve J C, et al. The emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification[J]. The Cryosphere, 2009, 3(1): 11−19. doi: 10.5194/tc-3-11-2009
    [2]
    Screen J A, Simmonds I. The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification[J]. Nature, 2010, 464(7293): 1334−1337. doi: 10.1038/nature09051
    [3]
    Screen J A, Simmonds I. Increasing fall-winter energy loss from the Arctic Ocean and its role in Arctic temperature amplification[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2010, 37(16): L16707.
    [4]
    Kurtz N T, Markus T, Farrell S L, et al. Observations of recent Arctic sea ice volume loss and its impact on ocean-atmosphere energy exchange and ice production[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2011, 116(C4): C04015.
    [5]
    Petoukhov V, Semenov V A. A link between reduced Barents-Kara sea ice and cold winter extremes over northern continents[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2010, 115(D21): D21111. doi: 10.1029/2009JD013568
    [6]
    Liu Jiping, Curry J A, Wang Huijun, et al. Impact of declining Arctic sea ice on winter snowfall[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2012, 109(11): 4074−4079. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1114910109
    [7]
    Deser C, Tomas R, Alexander M, et al. The seasonal atmospheric response to projected Arctic sea ice loss in the late twenty-first century[J]. Journal of Climate, 2010, 23(2): 333−351. doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3053.1
    [8]
    Francis J A, Chan Weihan, Leathers D J, et al. Winter Northern Hemisphere weather patterns remember summer Arctic sea-ice extent[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2009, 36(7): L07503.
    [9]
    Hopsch S, Cohen J, Dethloff K. Analysis of a link between fall Arctic sea ice concentration and atmospheric patterns in the following winter[J]. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 2012, 64(1): 18624. doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.18624
    [10]
    Jaiser R, Dethloff K, Handorf D, et al. Impact of sea ice cover changes on the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric winter circulation[J]. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 2012, 64(1): 11595. doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.11595
    [11]
    Orsolini Y J, Senan R, Benestad R E, et al. Autumn atmospheric response to the 2007 low Arctic sea ice extent in coupled ocean-atmosphere hindcasts[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2012, 38(11/12): 2437−2448.
    [12]
    Porter D F, Cassano J J, Serreze M C. Local and large-scale atmospheric responses to reduced Arctic sea ice and ocean warming in the WRF model[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2012, 117(D11): D11115.
    [13]
    Strey S T, Chapman W L, Walsh J E. The 2007 sea ice minimum: impacts on the Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in late autumn and early winter[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2010, 115(D23): D23103. doi: 10.1029/2009JD013294
    [14]
    IPCC. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2013.
    [15]
    沈永平, 王国亚. IPCC第一工作组第五次评估报告对全球气候变化认知的最新科学要点[J]. 冰川冻土, 2013, 35(5): 1068−1076.

    Shen Yongping, Wang Guoya. Key findings and assessment results of IPCC WGI fifth assessment report[J]. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2013, 35(5): 1068−1076.
    [16]
    Stroeve J, Holland M M, Meier W, et al. Arctic sea ice decline: faster than forecast[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2007, 34(9): L09501.
    [17]
    Wang Muyin, Overland J E. A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years: an update from CMIP5 models[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2012, 39(18): L18501. doi: 10.1029/2012GL052868
    [18]
    Bader J, Mesquita M D S, Hodges K I, et al. A review on Northern Hemisphere sea-ice, storminess and the North Atlantic Oscillation: observations and projected changes[J]. Atmospheric Research, 2011, 101(4): 809−834. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.04.007
    [19]
    Outten S D, Esau I. A link between Arctic sea ice and recent cooling trends over Eurasia[J]. Climatic Change, 2012, 110(3/4): 1069−1075.
    [20]
    Francis J A, Vavrus S J. Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid-latitudes[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2012, 39(6): L06801. doi: 10.1029/2012GL051000
    [21]
    Wu Bingyi, Su Jingzhi, Zhang Renhe. Effects of autumn-winter Arctic sea ice on winter Siberian High[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2011, 56(30): 3220−3228. doi: 10.1007/s11434-011-4696-4
    [22]
    Wu Bingyi, Handorf D, Dethloff K, et al. Winter weather patterns over Northern Eurasia and Arctic sea ice loss[J]. Monthly Weather Review, 2013, 141(11): 3786−3800. doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00046.1
    [23]
    Honda M, Inoue J, Yamane S. Influence of low Arctic sea-ice minima on anomalously cold Eurasian winters[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2009, 36(8): L08707. doi: 10.1029/2008GL037079
    [24]
    Mori M, Watanabe M, Shiogama H, et al. Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in past decades[J]. Nature Geoscience, 2014, 7(12): 869−873. doi: 10.1038/ngeo2277
    [25]
    Liu Na, Liu Jiping, Zhang Zhanhai, et al. Is extreme Arctic sea ice anomaly in 2007 a key contributor to severe January 2008 snowstorm in China?[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2012, 32(13): 2081−2087. doi: 10.1002/joc.2400
    [26]
    Tang Q, Zhang X, Yang X, et al. Cold winter extremes in northern continents linked to Arctic sea ice loss[J]. Environmental Research Letters, 2013, 8(1): 14−36.
    [27]
    Serreze M C, Barry R G. Processes and impacts of Arctic amplification: A research synthesis[J]. Global and Planetary Change, 2011, 77(1−2): 85−96. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.004
    [28]
    左涛, 陈锦年, 王凡. 中部型El Niño与北极海冰变化的联系[J]. 海洋湖沼通报, 2015, 37(3): 1−13.

    Zuo Tao, Chen Jinnian, Wang Fan. The contribution of central Pacific El Niño (La Niña) to the Arctic sea ice variation[J]. Transactions of Oceanology and Limnology, 2015, 37(3): 1−13.
    [29]
    陈迪, 高山红, 陈锦年. 印太暖池区域海温异常与北极海冰变化的联系[J]. 极地研究, 2016, 28(1): 49−57.

    Chen Di, Gao Shanhong, Chen Jinnian. Impact of the indo-pacific warm pool SST anomaly on arctic sea ice variation[J]. Chinese Journal of Polar Research, 2016, 28(1): 49−57.
    [30]
    Rayner N A, Parker D E, Horton E B, et al. Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2003, 108(D14): 4407. doi: 10.1029/2002JD002670
    [31]
    Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, et al. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project[J]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 1996, 77(3): 437−472. doi: 10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2
    [32]
    Fetterer F, Knowles K, Meier W, et al. Sea ice index, Version 3[R]. Boulder, Colorado USA: National Snow and Ice Data Center, 2017.
    [33]
    Liang X S. Unraveling the cause-effect relation between time series[J]. Physical Review E, 2014, 90(5): 052150. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.90.052150
    [34]
    Dickson B. All change in the Arctic[J]. Nature, 1999, 397(6718): 389−391. doi: 10.1038/17018
    [35]
    Fetterer F, Knowles K. Sea ice index monitors polar ice extent[J]. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 2004, 85(16): 163. doi: 10.1029/2004EO160007
    [36]
    Nakamura T, Yamazaki K, Iwamoto K, et al. A negative phase shift of the winter AO/NAO due to the recent Arctic sea-ice reduction in late autumn[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2015, 120(8): 3209−3227. doi: 10.1002/2014JD022848
    [37]
    Zhang Shuyu, Gan T Y, Bush A B G. Variability of Arctic sea ice based on quantile regression and the teleconnection with large-scale climate patterns[J]. Journal of Climate, 2020, 33(10): 4009−4025. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0375.1
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Figures(18)

    Article views (518) PDF downloads(100) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return