The impact of SST on the track and intensity of landing tropical cyclones from Huanghai Sea and Bohai Sea

CHEN Yan-qiu; YUAN Zi-peng; WANG Yuan

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CHEN Yan-qiu, YUAN Zi-peng, WANG Yuan. The impact of SST on the track and intensity of landing tropical cyclones from Huanghai Sea and Bohai Sea[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 2008, 30(1): 31-41.

Citation:

CHEN Yan-qiu, YUAN Zi-peng, WANG Yuan. The impact of SST on the track and intensity of landing tropical cyclones from Huanghai Sea and Bohai Sea[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 2008, 30(1): 31-41.

CHEN Yan-qiu, YUAN Zi-peng, WANG Yuan. The impact of SST on the track and intensity of landing tropical cyclones from Huanghai Sea and Bohai Sea[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 2008, 30(1): 31-41.

Citation:

CHEN Yan-qiu, YUAN Zi-peng, WANG Yuan. The impact of SST on the track and intensity of landing tropical cyclones from Huanghai Sea and Bohai Sea[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 2008, 30(1): 31-41.

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The impact of SST on the track and intensity of landing tropical cyclones from Huanghai Sea and Bohai Sea

1.
Shenyang Central Meteorological Observatory, Shenyang 110016, China;The Department of Atmosphere Sciences, Nanjing University, Key Laboratory of Mesocale Severe Weather, the Ministry of Education, Nanjing 210093, China
2.
The Department of Atmosphere Sciences, Nanjing University, Key Laboratory of Mesocale Severe Weather, the Ministry of Education, Nanjing 210093, China

Received Date: 2007-04-09
Rev Recd Date: 2007-08-27

Abstract

Abstract

Based on the annual TC dataset of CMA and OI data of SST of NCEP, by using EOF and Proba- bility Analysis, the space-time distribution characteristics of the SST linked with the tropical cyclones landing from Huanghai Sea and Bohai Sea are explored.The probability of reaching Maximum Potential Intensity (MPI) of these storms is calculated.The results indicate, the obvious positive anomaly (> 1℃) of SST in Huanghai Sea and Bohai Sea are essential condition for north track of the TCs.Before every TC moving across the two seas, the SST anomaly of a key region is going up.Only 30% of the storms can reach to 50% of their MPI, and only 1% can reach to 80%.
- SST,
- TC,
- EOF,
- MPI,
- probability analysis

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References(39)

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