FORECASTING OF SEA-ICE REGIME BY USING THE SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND THE CHARACTERISTICS OF THE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION OVER THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE

It was found that the sea-surface temperature and the characteristics of atmospheric circulations in preceding months are closely related to the temperatures and ice regime in winter months. This relationship was most strongly reflected over the strong ocean-current regions and over the regions with quasi-permanent atmospheric center actions.It has been also shown that the influence of the ocean on the atmosphere is more pronounced over these regions.This relationship may offer a key for long-term forecasting of the sea ice regime in winter. In addition, because,there is an obvious instability the stabilities of the correlation coefficients were analysed. Considering that the formation of weather process may changes with the variations of time scale, predictions for longer and shorter time scales processes are considered separately So the conclusion,some results and tests of forecasting in recent years are given.