Review on global warming “hiatus”

Liu Shan; Chen Xingrong; Cai Yi

doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2019.04.001

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Liu Shan, Chen Xingrong, Cai Yi. Review on global warming “hiatus”[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 2019, 41(4): 1-14. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2019.04.001

Citation:

Liu Shan, Chen Xingrong, Cai Yi. Review on global warming “hiatus”[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 2019, 41(4): 1-14. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2019.04.001

Liu Shan, Chen Xingrong, Cai Yi. Review on global warming “hiatus”[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 2019, 41(4): 1-14. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2019.04.001

Citation:

Liu Shan, Chen Xingrong, Cai Yi. Review on global warming “hiatus”[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 2019, 41(4): 1-14. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2019.04.001

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Review on global warming “hiatus”

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2019.04.001

1.
National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Beijing 100081, China
2.
National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Beijing 100081, China;Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting, State Oceanic Administration, Beijing 10081, China

Received Date: 2018-04-22
Rev Recd Date: 2018-09-19

Abstract

Abstract

Global warming "hiatus" has attracted much attention since it was put forward, which is a hot issue in the field of global climate change. It is mainly manifested by the lower warming rate of the global mean air surface temperature than before during 1998-2012. Besides, the atmospheric circulation and ocean circulation have also changed significantly. In the attribution analysis of global warming "hiatus", many scientists believe that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation plays an important role. Other possible factors may include changes of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and Antarctic Bottom Water. However, there are biases in temporal consistence and spatial coverage of observation data, which increase the uncertainty of global warming "hiatus". Nevertheless, it is the consensus of many scientists that the internal variability of the climate system changed and then led to the increased absorption of heat in the deep ocean. If the uncertainty of the global warming hiatus is hoped to be resolved, the enrichment and improvement of observation data is a tough requirement.
- global warming "hiatus",
- circulation characteristics,
- internal variability of the climate system,
- deep ocean warming,
- observation bias

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