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基于HY-2A微波散射计海面风场资料的台风风剖面信息提取研究

张路 胡潭高 张毅 张登荣 李瑶 沈黎达

张路,胡潭高,张毅,等. 基于HY-2A微波散射计海面风场资料的台风风剖面信息提取研究[J]. 海洋学报,2020,42(1):102–112,doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253−4193.2020.01.011
引用本文: 张路,胡潭高,张毅,等. 基于HY-2A微波散射计海面风场资料的台风风剖面信息提取研究[J]. 海洋学报,2020,42(1):102–112,doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253−4193.2020.01.011
Zhang Lu,Hu Tangao,Zhang Yi, et al. Research on typhoon wind profile information extraction based on sea surface wind field data of HY-2A microwave scatterometer[J]. Haiyang Xuebao,2020, 42(1):102–112,doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253−4193.2020.01.011
Citation: Zhang Lu,Hu Tangao,Zhang Yi, et al. Research on typhoon wind profile information extraction based on sea surface wind field data of HY-2A microwave scatterometer[J]. Haiyang Xuebao,2020, 42(1):102–112,doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253−4193.2020.01.011

基于HY-2A微波散射计海面风场资料的台风风剖面信息提取研究

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2020.01.011
基金项目: 国家重点研发计划(2017YB0502800,2017YFB0502805);浙江省基础公益研究计划(LY19D010004,LGF18D010005);杭州市农业与社会发展科研自主申报项目(20191203B19)。
详细信息
    作者简介:

    张路(1993—),男,广西壮族自治区南宁市人,主要从事台风路径预测研究。E-mail:zl695677296@gmail.com

    通讯作者:

    胡潭高(1983—),男,浙江省宁波市人,副教授,主要从事微波散射计风场产品应用研究。E-mail:hutangao@hznu.edu.cn

  • 中图分类号: P732.3;P717

Research on typhoon wind profile information extraction based on sea surface wind field data of HY-2A microwave scatterometer

  • 摘要: 台风风剖面信息是直观反映与台风中心不同距离的各点与平均风速关系的曲线,它是确定各级台风风圈范围的重要基础。本文利用HY-2A微波散射计海面风场资料,结合Holland风场模型提出了一种新的台风风剖面信息提取方法,并选取2012–2017年期间16期典型台风进行应用。结果表明:34 kt与50 kt风圈半径的平均均方根误差为37.6 km与18.3 km,该方法具有较好的适用性和精度。本研究对于描述台风结构特征及潜在的破坏力和台风可能的影响范围具有一定的现实意义。
  • 图  1  总体技术路线

    Fig.  1  Overall technical roadmap

    图  2  台风“珊瑚”与“菲特”路径

    Fig.  2  Typhoon Sanvu and Typhoon Fitow road map

    图  3  台风“珊瑚”风场

    a. 5月23日09时;b. 5月23日21时;c. 5月24日09时;d. 5月24日21时;e. 5月25日09时;f. 5月26日20时

    Fig.  3  Wind field map of Typhoon Sanvu

    a. 09:00 on May 23;b. 21:00 on May 23;c. 09:00 on May 24;d. 21:00 on May 24;e. 09:00 on May 25;f. 20:00 on May 26

    图  4  台风“珊瑚”Willoughby B值计算法风速剖面拟合曲线

    a. 5月23日09时;b. 5月23日21时;c. 5月24日09时;d. 5月24日21时;e. 5月25日09时;f. 5月26日20时

    Fig.  4  Wind speed profile fitting curve of Typhoon Sanvu with value B calculated by Willoughby’s method

    a. 09:00 on May 23;b. 21:00 on May 23;c. 09:00 on May 24;d. 21:00 on May 24;e. 09:00 on May 25;f. 20:00 on May 26

    图  5  台风“珊瑚”Vickery B值计算法风速剖面拟合曲线

    a. 5月23日09时;b. 5月23日21时;c. 5月24日09时;d. 5月24日21时;e. 5月25日09时;f. 5月26日20时

    Fig.  5  Wind speed profile fitting curve of Typhoon Sanvu with value B calculated by Vickery’s method

    a. 09:00 on May 23;b. 21:00 on May 23;c. 09:00 on May 24;d. 21:00 on May 24;e. 09:00 on May 25;f. 20:00 on May 26

    图  6  台风“菲特”风场图

    a. 10月01日09时;b. 10月01日21时;c. 10月02日09时;d. 10月02日21时;e. 10月03日09时;f. 10月03日21时

    Fig.  6  Wind field map of Typhoon Fitow

    a. 09:00 on October 1;b. 21:00 on October 1;c. 09:00 on October 2;d. 21:00 on October 2;e. 09:00 on October 3;f. 21:00 on October 3

    图  7  台风“菲特”Willoughby B值计算法风速剖面拟合曲线

    a. 10月01日09时;b. 10月01日21时;c. 10月02日09时;d. 10月02日21时;e. 10月03日09时;f. 10月03日21时

    Fig.  7  Wind speed profile fitting curve of Typhoon Fitow with value B calculated by Willoughby’s method

    a. 09:00 on October 1;b. 21:00 on October 1;c. 09:00 on October 2;d. 21:00 on October 2;e. 09:00 on October 3;f. 21:00 on October 3

    图  8  台风“菲特”Vickery B值计算法风速剖面拟合曲线

    a. 10月01日09时;b. 10月01日21时;c. 10月02日09时;d. 10月02日21时;e. 10月03日09时;f. 10月03日21时

    Fig.  8  Wind speed profile fitting curve of Typhoon Fitow with value B calculated by Vickery’s method

    a. 09:00 on October 1;b. 21:00 on October 1;c. 09:00 on October 2;d. 21:00 on October 2;e. 09:00 on October 3;f. 21:00 on October 3

    表  1  台风“珊瑚”结构参数对比

    Tab.  1  Comparison of structural parameters of Typhoon Sanvu

    日期时间中心纬度中心经度最大风速/m·s−1最大风速半径/kmB
    SMJTWCSMJTWCSMJTWCSMJTWCWV
    5月23日09:0017.20°N17.10°N140.90°E140.10°E26.129.646461.4841.402
    5月23日21:0018.71°N18.55°N139.20°E139.20°E31.230.845421.5871.388
    5月24日09:0020.27°N20.30°N138.80°E138.90°E32.832.148461.6271.351
    5月24日21:0021.95°N21.85°N139.10°E139.00°E36.037.348461.6971.329
    5月25日09:0023.40°N23.30°N139.70°E139.70°E38.039.841461.7491.350
    5月26日20:0026.52°N26.45°N144.40°E144.55°E27.528.350511.5881.259
      注:SM代表海洋二号散射计数据,W表示Willoughby B值计算法,V表示Vickery B值计算法。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  台风“珊瑚”风圈半径对比

    Tab.  2  Comparison of wind radii of Typhoon Sanvu

    日期时间34 kt风圈半径/km50 kt风圈半径/km
    WVJTWCWVJTWC
    5月23日09:00135144162545451
    5月23日21:00162194181869465
    5月24日09:0017923418299115 70
    5月24日21:00192281205111 141 93
    5月25日09:00168255207101 131 79
    5月26日20:00149197218717883
      注:W表示Willoughby B值计算法的风圈半径,V表示Vickery B值计算法的风圈半径。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  台风“菲特”结构参数对比

    Tab.  3  Comparison of structural parameters of Typhoon Fitow

    日期时间中心纬度中心经度最大风速/m·s−1最大风速半径/kmB
    SMJTWCSMJTWCSMJTWCSMJTWCWV
    10月1日09:0015.60°N15.60°N131.20°E131.40°E25.025.760651.4441.345
    10月1日21:0017.30°N17.30°N130.30°E130.50°E29.128.358561.5311.334
    10月2日09:0018.67°N18.60°N129.90°E129.90°E30.030.852561.5621.350
    10月2日21:0019.81°N19.80°N129.50°E129.50°E31.830.857561.6001.307
    10月3日09:0020.89°N20.90°N129.70°E129.70°E36.036.060561.6801.276
    10月3日21:0021.90°N21.90°N129.90°E129.90°E38.541.140311.7451.375
      注:SM代表海洋二号散射计数据,W表示Willoughby B值计算法,V表示Vickery B值计算法。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  4  台风“菲特”风圈对比

    Tab.  4  Comparison of wind radii of Typhoon Fitow

    日期时间34 kt风圈/km50 kt风圈/km
    WVJTWCWVJTWC
    10月1日09:00168182130
    10月1日21:001962341539710565
    10月2日09:001802181769210174
    10月2日21:0020827821811213197
    10月3日09:00243378273141185120
    10月3日21:00168248292101131120
      注:W表示Willoughby B值计算法的风圈半径,V表示Vickery B值计算法的风圈半径。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  5  2012−2017年间14个台风风圈的RMSE

    Tab.  5  RMSE of 14 typhoons’ wind radii between 2012 and 2017

    编号名称景数RMSE/km
    34 kt W34 kt V50 kt W50 ktV
    201203玛娃217.139.613.720.6
    201209苏拉428.550.618.624.2
    201307苏力231.738.912.217.9
    201319天兔351.875.25.58.5
    201320帕布332.724.213.27.6
    201324丹娜丝213.020.411.115.4
    201325百合225.650.817.924.4
    201410麦德姆220.138.713.722.3
    201418巴蓬315.5104.110.428.7
    201507白海豚729.534.720.022.2
    201509灿鸿619.651.915.133.3
    201521杜鹃229.943.56.527.3
    201623米雷431.854.219.727.8
    201709纳沙312.045.58.321.4
      注:34 kt W、34 kt V、50 kt W、50 kt V分别表示Willoughby B值计算法与Vickery B值计算法获取的风圈半径的34 kt风圈与50 kt风圈的RMSE。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  6  2012−2017年间14个台风风圈的MAE

    Tab.  6  MAE of 14 typhoons’ wind radii between 2012 and 2017

    编号名称景数MAE/km
    34 kt W34 kt V50 kt W50 kt V
    201203玛娃216.337.311.818.6
    201209苏拉424.045.816.522.0
    201307苏力224.632.59.713.1
    201319天兔344.865.75.58.5
    201320帕布331.623.712.86.4
    201324丹娜丝212.018.39.112.9
    201325百合224.740.117.421.2
    201410麦德姆219.329.412.220.0
    201418巴蓬313.299.39.727.1
    201507白海豚723.526.513.815.3
    201509灿鸿616.347.113.731.7
    201521杜鹃225.836.75.525.6
    201623米雷426.442.415.422.4
    201709纳沙38.744.27.020.6
      注:34 kt W、34 kt V、50 kt W、50 kt V分别表示Willoughby B值计算法与Vickery B值计算法获取的风圈半径的34 kt风圈与50 kt风圈的MAE。
    下载: 导出CSV
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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2018-11-27
  • 修回日期:  2019-02-14
  • 网络出版日期:  2021-04-21
  • 刊出日期:  2020-01-25

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