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海州湾鹰爪虾栖息地适宜性研究

陈艺璇 张云雷 黄锘妍 郭笳 陈皖 任一平 薛莹

陈艺璇,张云雷,黄锘妍,等. 海州湾鹰爪虾栖息地适宜性研究[J]. 海洋学报,2021,43(4):84–95 doi: 10.12284/hyxb2021044
引用本文: 陈艺璇,张云雷,黄锘妍,等. 海州湾鹰爪虾栖息地适宜性研究[J]. 海洋学报,2021,43(4):84–95 doi: 10.12284/hyxb2021044
Chen Yixuan,Zhang Yunlei,Huang Nuoyan, et al. Study on the habitat suitability of Trachypenaeus curvirostris in the Haizhou Bay[J]. Haiyang Xuebao,2021, 43(4):84–95 doi: 10.12284/hyxb2021044
Citation: Chen Yixuan,Zhang Yunlei,Huang Nuoyan, et al. Study on the habitat suitability of Trachypenaeus curvirostris in the Haizhou Bay[J]. Haiyang Xuebao,2021, 43(4):84–95 doi: 10.12284/hyxb2021044

海州湾鹰爪虾栖息地适宜性研究

doi: 10.12284/hyxb2021044
基金项目: 青岛海洋科学与技术试点国家实验室重大科技专项(2018 SDKJ0501-2);国家自然科学基金(31772852);国家重点研发计划(2018YFD0900904)。
详细信息
    作者简介:

    陈艺璇(1998—),女,山东省泰安市人,研究方向为海洋资源与环境。E-mail:1209312126@qq.com

    通讯作者:

    薛莹,教授。E-mail:xueying@ouc.edu.cn

  • 中图分类号: S931.4

Study on the habitat suitability of Trachypenaeus curvirostris in the Haizhou Bay

  • 摘要: 根据2011年及2013−2017年春季和秋季在海州湾进行的底拖网调查数据,结合同步测定的底层水温、底层盐度、水深和资源量等数据,开展鹰爪虾(Trachypenaeus curvirostris)栖息地适宜性的研究,先利用广义加性模型对环境因子进行筛选,再应用提升回归树模型确定各环境因子的权重,然后分别采用算术平均法和几何平均法建立栖息地适宜性指数模型,并通过交叉验证选择最优模型。结果表明:春季鹰爪虾的栖息地适宜性指数模型采用算术平均法构建,选择水深和底层盐度作为变量,具有最小的拟合;秋季鹰爪虾的栖息地适宜性指数模型采用几何平均法构建,选择底层水温和底层盐度作为变量,具有最小的拟合。对春季栖息地适宜性指数模型总偏差贡献率最大的是水深(76.23%),其次是底层盐度(23.77%);对秋季栖息地适宜性指数模型总偏差贡献率最大的是底层水温(82.56%),其次是底层盐度(17.44%)。海州湾春季鹰爪虾的最适栖息水深为24 m以内,底层盐度为29.7~31.8;秋季的最适栖息底层水温为18~24℃,底层盐度为29.2~31.5。本研究表明,环境因子的优化有助于改进栖息地适宜性指数模型,并提升其预测能力。
  • 图  1  海州湾调查区域

    Fig.  1  Sampling areas in the Haizhou Bay

    图  2  海州湾春季(a1,a2)和秋季(b1,b2)鹰爪虾对底层水温、底层盐度和水深的适宜性指数曲线

    断续线表示SI值为0.7

    Fig.  2  Suitability index curves of bottom temperature, bottom salinity and water depth for Trachypenaeus curvirostrisin the Haizhou Bay during spring (a1, a2) and autumn (b1, b2)

    Dashed lines indicate SI is 0.7

    3  2011年及2013−2017年春季和秋季海州湾鹰爪虾的HSI分布

    3  Distribution of HSI of Trachypenaeus curvirostris in the Haizhou Bay during spring and autumn of 2011 and 2013−2017

    图  4  2011年及2013−2017年间春季和秋季海州湾温度和盐度的最大年间差异

    a. 春季盐度最大年间差异;b. 秋季盐度最大年间差异;c. 秋季温度最大年间差异

    Fig.  4  Maximum annual difference in temperature and salinity in the Haizhou Bay during spring and autumn of 2011 and 2013−2017

    a. Maximum annual difference in salinity during spring; b. maximum annual difference in salinity during autumn; c. maximum annual difference in temperature during autumn

    图  5  2011年及2013−2017年春季和秋季海州湾鹰爪虾的HSI平均值分布

    a. 春季HSI平均值分布图(实线为等深线);b. 秋季HSI平均值分布图(实线为等温线);c. 春季HSI平均值分布图(实线为等盐度线);d. 秋季HSI平均值分布图(实线为等盐度线)

    Fig.  5  Distribution of HSI average of Trachypenaeus curvirostris in the Haizhou Bay during spring and autumn of 2011 and 2013−2017

    a. Distribution of HSI average during spring (solid line is the isobath line); b. distribution of HSI average during autumn (solid line is the isotherme); c. distribution of HSI average during spring (solid line is the isohaline); d. distribution of HSI average during autumn (solid line is the isohaline)

    表  1  海州湾春季和秋季基于不同环境因子组合的GAM模型检验

    Tab.  1  Parameters analysis of different combinations of environmental variables by the best generalized additive models (GAMs) in the Haizhou Bay during spring and autumn

    GAM模型AIC值残差
    春季水深+底层盐度535.167932.389
    水深+底层盐度+底层水温540.351906.996
    水深+底层盐度+底层水温+底质类型541.726801.401
    秋季底层水温+底层盐度492.6211164.971
    底层水温+底层盐度+水深495.4371097.580
    底层水温+底层盐度+水深+底质类型503.4141024.174
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  AMM和GMM模型预测性能的比较

    Tab.  2  Cross-validation of AMM and GMM algorithm in mean confidence interval

    季节AMMGMM
    平均 AIC值平均 R2平均AIC值平均R2
    春季−6.9780.283−7.1850.287
    秋季−34.6270.378−34.3460.367
    下载: 导出CSV
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  • 收稿日期:  2020-03-30
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