近几十年来珠江三角洲网河水位时空变化及原因初探
Spatial and temporal characteristics of water level change and its causes in the Zhujiang Delta in recent decades
-
摘要: 根据珠江三角洲网河区25站的验潮序列,应用功率谱分析和正、反傅氏变换方法对网河区月均水位序列的周期变化和趋势变化进行研究,探讨大规模人类采砂活动对珠江三角洲网河区近几十年来水位变化的影响。结果表明:水位序列中包含0.2~11.7 a多尺度的显著周期波动;应用正、反傅氏变换方法消除月均序列中的短周期波动(消除6 a以短的周期),由低通序列进行一元线性回归分析确定水位变化率,变化率从-3.8到3.7 mm/a不等,珠江三角洲网河区水位总体呈上升趋势。从网河区上段到下段再到口门,水位变化趋势由下降转为上升;变化率由负转正,并逐渐增大。网河区上段部分验潮站水位下降主要与西北江网河上段大规模无序采砂引起的河床大幅人为下切有关;大规模采砂导致局部水位下降,使不同时段的水位变化率发生波动,甚至造成部分验潮站的水位变化由缓慢上升转为大幅下降的"逆变"。Abstract: Based on the measured tide gauge records at 25 stations in the Zhujiang Delta, the periodic oscillations and secular trends of water level series were studied with Power spectra analysis and Fourier transformation analysis. The Power spectra analysis of monthly mean time series reveals that there were several predominant periods of water level change, varying from 0.3 a to 11.7 a. Results from Linear regression of low-passed time series which were the outcome of Fourier transform process suggest that the water level of river network of Zhujiang Delta was rising in general, and the rate of water level change generally ascended as shifting from the top of the delta to the outlets of the Zhujiang River. The rates of water level change of 25 tide gauge stations differ from -3.8 mm/a to 3.7 mm/a, and the secular trend of seven stations among them was descending, which was largely due to large-scale disordered sand excavation in the upper reaches of the Xijiang and Beijiang River network. Analysis on the change in the rates of water level change of different periods indicates that large-scale sand excavation in the river network which led to bed scour and deepening resulted in the significant fluctuation of water level, and even reversed the secular trend of water level change.
-
YANG Guishan. Relative sea level rise and its effects on environment and resources in china's coastal areas[J]. Chinese Geographical Science,1995,5(2):104-115. 曾昭漩,刘南威,胡男.珠江口水位变化的趋势[J].热带海洋,1992,11:56-62. 黄镇国,陈特固.广东海平面变化及其影响与对策[M].广州: 广东科技出版社,2000:46-54. 徐起浩,丁丽青,酆晓.华南沿海地区验潮站资料反映的海平面变化与海岸升降[J].华南地震,2000,20(3):52-56. 杨清书,吴超羽,倪培桐.傅氏变换在短序列确定海平面变化趋势中的应用[J].热带地理,1996,16(2):107-113. 杨清书,吴超羽.低通数字滤波在确定海平面变化趋势中的应用[J].海洋通报,1996,15(1):7-13. 杨清书,沈焕庭,刘新成.应用数字滤波消除潮位短周期波动对确定海平面变化趋势的影响[J].水科学进展,1998,9(2):356-360. 杨清书,罗宪林.珠江口伶仃洋海平面变化趋势研究[J].地理科学,1999,19(2):125-127. 杨清书.珠江三角洲的水位变化趋势及其本征模型[J].海洋科学,1998(1):47-50. 陈创买.气象应用谱分析[M].广州:中山大学出版社,1988:31-32, 64-66, 69. 黄立人,杨国华,安振声.统一均衡基准下中国沿岸的海面变化[J].海洋学报,1992,14(2): 20-25. 罗宪林,杨清书,贾良文,等.珠江三角洲网河河床演变[M].广州:中山大学出版社,2002:26, 35, 100-133, 174-193. 陈晓宏,陈永勤.珠江三角洲网河区水文与地貌特征变异及其成因[J].地理学报,2002,57(4):429-436. 黄镇国,张伟强.珠江三角洲河道近期冲淤特征初步分析[J].台湾海峡,2005,24(4):417-425. 杨清书,罗章仁,沈焕庭,等.珠江三角洲网河区顶点分水分沙变化及神经网络模型预测[J].水利学报,2003(6):56-60. -
计量
- 文章访问数: 1544
- HTML全文浏览量: 11
- PDF下载量: 1647
- 被引次数: 0