中国近海异常海温数值预报模式研究Ⅱ.因子分析和试预报
A numerical model for predicting offshore SST anomaly in the East China Sea Ⅱ.Factor analyses and experiment forecast
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摘要: 首先对近海异常海温模式的主要影响因子作了概量估计.在此基础上对形成异常高温和异常低温的有利天气系统、主要影响因子和形成时间尺度进行了比较,进而对试预报(后报)个例的选取、初值的形成、试预报结果及其检验进行了说明.最后对这一研究进行了总结和讨论.Abstract: Based on the quantitative analyses of affecting factors in Offshore-SST Anomaly (U-SSTA) model,the most favorable atmospheric forcing systems for forming of warm/cold anomaly among U-SSTA are recognized.The different forming time scale and chief factors between the both are indicated.A sample of experiment forecast is chosen,its initial values are formed and the model is run.Finally,the results of experiment forecast are checked.
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Key words:
- O-SSTA /
- factor analyses /
- experiment forecast
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